lalonde-doubly-robust-ate

Task gallery / Machine learning / Version 1

Reference solution (oracle): Pass
No-op resistance check: Pass
QA verdict: Not recorded
Aggregate eligibility: Eligible version

The task

Hey, round two on the jobs-training evaluation. The observational sample is at /app/data/lalondeobs.csv: 185 program participants pooled with a large survey comparison group that looks nothing like them. One complication — the 1978 earnings outcome (re78) hasn't been released yet for about thirty percent of the comparison group, so those rows have a blank re78. Every row carries a stable rowid. Two deliverables from…

Excerpt only; not a complete executable task specification. Task ID task_1dd8dd076c474c45 · version 1. Selection status: not fully recorded.

Results by model and effort

This exact task version only. Every rate is passes / valid runs with a Wilson 95% interval; n≤2 remains counts only. Macro aggregation does not apply within a single task. Baselines are summarized in the quality gates, not ranked. A passed no-op resistance check means that doing nothing did not solve the task.

Current evidence

Model / effort	Verifier result [95% Wilson]	Diagnostic labels / valid	HARNESS_ERROR · excluded	Outcome classes
Claude Opus 5 · default (unverified)	2/2	2 / 2	0	GOOD_FAILURE: 0 BAD_FAILURE: 0 GOOD_SUCCESS: 2 BAD_SUCCESS: 0

Legacy evidence

Model / effort	Verifier result [95% Wilson]	Diagnostic labels / valid	HARNESS_ERROR · excluded	Outcome classes

Every recorded run

4 recorded trials, including controls. Diagnostic labels do not replace verifier reward. Labels and quality checks are source declarations, not independently attested here. Internal evidence remains private; a missing public URL is shown explicitly. Records with invalid or absent rewards are not scored.

Run / model	Date / source	Reward / eligibility	Diagnostic class / source	Resources	Evidence
`trial_253f6dd29bce4499` oracle@@	Oct 12, 2026 console	1 · valid	GOOD_SUCCESS frozen-classifier	Tokens: — Turns: — Cost: —	Not publicly available
`trial_6f8472c2ec194028` nop@@	Oct 12, 2026 console	0 · valid	GOOD_FAILURE frozen-classifier	Tokens: — Turns: — Cost: —	Not publicly available
`trial_7fa7b42fb5954e28` Claude Opus 5 · default (unverified)	Oct 12, 2026 console	1 · valid	GOOD_SUCCESS frozen-classifier	Tokens: — Turns: — Cost: —	Not publicly available
`trial_868ac7336fc846e5` Claude Opus 5 · default (unverified)	Oct 12, 2026 console	1 · valid	GOOD_SUCCESS frozen-classifier	Tokens: 66,471 Turns: 55 Cost: $4.3132	Not publicly available