pyfixest-picchetti-ri

Task gallery / Data processing / data science / Version 1

Reference solution (oracle): Unverified
No-op resistance check: Unverified
QA verdict: Not recorded
Aggregate eligibility: Eligible version

The task

Randomization test with an autoregressive instrument Users of pyfixest run local projections with instruments such as weather, cloud cover or commodity prices, which are persistent over time. Picchetti (2026, arXiv:2610.19075) proposes randomization tests for short panels in which the instrument follows a first-order autoregression with unknown persistence and only its innovations are as good as randomly assigned. T…

Excerpt only; not a complete executable task specification. Task ID task_56ae95087cab4b3a · version 1. Selection status: not fully recorded.

Results by model and effort

This exact task version only. Every rate is passes / valid runs with a Wilson 95% interval; n≤2 remains counts only. Macro aggregation does not apply within a single task. Baselines are summarized in the quality gates, not ranked. A passed no-op resistance check means that doing nothing did not solve the task.

Current evidence

Model / effort	Verifier result [95% Wilson]	Diagnostic labels / valid	HARNESS_ERROR · excluded	Outcome classes
GPT-6 Astra · default (unverified)	2/2	0 / 2	0	GOOD_FAILURE: 0 BAD_FAILURE: 0 GOOD_SUCCESS: 0 BAD_SUCCESS: 0

Legacy evidence

Model / effort	Verifier result [95% Wilson]	Diagnostic labels / valid	HARNESS_ERROR · excluded	Outcome classes

Every recorded run

2 recorded trials, including controls. Diagnostic labels do not replace verifier reward. Labels and quality checks are source declarations, not independently attested here. Internal evidence remains private; a missing public URL is shown explicitly. Records with invalid or absent rewards are not scored.

Run / model	Date / source	Reward / eligibility	Diagnostic class / source	Resources	Evidence
`trial_35c50756e43c405f` GPT-6 Astra · default (unverified)	Oct 18, 2026 console	1 · valid	No diagnostic label derived	Tokens: — Turns: — Cost: —	Not publicly available
`trial_2bc46c588eff4d1d` GPT-6 Astra · default (unverified)	Oct 18, 2026 console	1 · valid	No diagnostic label derived	Tokens: — Turns: — Cost: —	Not publicly available