openfda-drug-route-calib-imbalance-temporal

Task gallery / Machine learning / Version 1

Reference solution (oracle): Pass
No-op resistance check: Pass
QA verdict: Not recorded
Aggregate eligibility: Eligible version

The task

Use the offline openFDA FAERS-style drug event extract in [local evidence] to predict whether each 2025 report has a serious outcome. The source CSV columns are rowid, reportyear, age, sex, route, reportertype, drugrole, therapydays, concomitantcount, reactioncount, priorreportcount, dosefreqperday, manufacturerregion, and seriousoutcome. The container has no internet, and the useful runtime is R with…

Excerpt only; not a complete executable task specification. Task ID task_64d5125dda834c57 · version 1. Selection status: not fully recorded.

Results by model and effort

This exact task version only. Every rate is passes / valid runs with a Wilson 95% interval; n≤2 remains counts only. Macro aggregation does not apply within a single task. Baselines are summarized in the quality gates, not ranked. A passed no-op resistance check means that doing nothing did not solve the task.

Current evidence

Model / effort	Verifier result [95% Wilson]	Diagnostic labels / valid	HARNESS_ERROR · excluded	Outcome classes
Claude Opus 5 · default (unverified)	3/3 · 100.0% [43.9%, 100.0%] · preliminary	3 / 3	0	GOOD_FAILURE: 0 BAD_FAILURE: 0 GOOD_SUCCESS: 3 BAD_SUCCESS: 0

Legacy evidence

Model / effort	Verifier result [95% Wilson]	Diagnostic labels / valid	HARNESS_ERROR · excluded	Outcome classes

Every recorded run

5 recorded trials, including controls. Diagnostic labels do not replace verifier reward. Labels and quality checks are source declarations, not independently attested here. Internal evidence remains private; a missing public URL is shown explicitly. Records with invalid or absent rewards are not scored.

Run / model	Date / source	Reward / eligibility	Diagnostic class / source	Resources	Evidence
`trial_241a1ed34f32400e` nop@@	Oct 11, 2026 console	0 · valid	No diagnostic label derived	Tokens: — Turns: — Cost: —	Not publicly available
`trial_73627562b54545a0` oracle@@	Oct 11, 2026 console	1 · valid	No diagnostic label derived	Tokens: — Turns: — Cost: —	Not publicly available
`trial_76f89582a32240ae` Claude Opus 5 · default (unverified)	Oct 11, 2026 console	1 · valid	GOOD_SUCCESS frozen-classifier	Tokens: 23,264 Turns: 16 Cost: $1.2771	Not publicly available
`trial_dff9bfbcae4b4a3f` Claude Opus 5 · default (unverified)	Oct 11, 2026 console	1 · valid	GOOD_SUCCESS frozen-classifier	Tokens: 25,585 Turns: 16 Cost: $1.7197	Not publicly available
`trial_68cd4405d78f4a56` Claude Opus 5 · default (unverified)	Oct 11, 2026 console	1 · valid	GOOD_SUCCESS frozen-classifier	Tokens: 28,451 Turns: 19 Cost: $1.5176	Not publicly available